This study estimates exchange rate risk between the Albanian Lek (ALL) and the Euro (EUR) using a GARCH(1,1) model and Value at Risk (VaR). Monthly data from January 2012 to October 2024 are used to model time-varying volatility in exchange rate returns. VaR is computed at the 95% and 99% confi - de…

Over the past few decades, there has been a shift of people from using traditional payment methods to digital methods, thus creating innovation in the payment system. Nowadays, the market is determined to bring a different culture to Albania. The purpose of this study, which is based on the use of c…

It is widely known that in the exchange rate market there are 3 factors influential to determine the currency exchange rate between the related countries in theory; i.e., the interest rate, inflation, and expectation on the exchange rate. This paper aims to find how the exchange rate between U.S. do…

This paper analyses the post SAP persistence of inflation in Nigeria for the period, 1960-2008 with exchange rate, money supply and trade balance as preferred influential variables. To investigate the effect of policy switch from the period of direct instrument to the period of deregulation occasion…

The recent economic and financial crisis caused a severe blow to the fragile Macedonian economy, halting the positive development trends in the last decade. This, has in turn, intensified the future challenges. The paper intends to analyze the impact of global economic crisis on the Macedonian econo…